Christmas 2020

Wishing others “Merry Christmas” this year seems misplaced somehow. For millions of people around the world the day is hardly “merry”. While I try very hard to see the bright side and the cup half full, count blessings and prayerfully remain hopeful for the future, I can’t help but feel terribly sad, not for myself so much, but for those who have suffered, are still suffering and who will yet suffer from everything that is happening around and to us.

A couple of months ago I predicted that Trump would win in a landslide and the Left and the evil it embodies would be driven back down into the hell from which it emanated. Now I’m witnessing a tsunami of unleashed, woke hellhounds that forebodes a period of chaos such as has never been seen before in our history.

It truly is a tipping point. The forces of the Left, seemingly uncoordinated but actually, masterfully directed by skilled manipulators sewing fear and creating mass delusion, have successfully brainwashed and conditioned at least half if not more of our population to believe good is evil and evil good.

Our institutions have failed us. Our judicial system, for example, has stuck its head in the sand. I attribute this to human failings of vanity, inertia and self-interest. Judges from Night Court to Supreme Court glare down from their elevated daises, ruling their fiefdoms as if they were omnipotent, demand obeisance, treat all around them with condescension (contempt, really .sic), and rule on the basis of a convoluted, ambiguous set of administrative laws that having nothing to do either with justice or the well-being of the plaintiffs and defendants appearing before them. Often their rulings are arbitrary, sometimes vindictive and sometimes even malevolent. They rarely if ever contemplate the good of society or our country as a whole. Even if they DO rule based on conviction and a desire to do what’s right, they have been so warped by Leftist rot they actually believe that society is better off with gender-neutral bathrooms! Finally, since their own livelihoods depend on what I call “popular justice”, instead of halting the Leftist, metastatic idiocy, they let it slip through their courts, kick the can down the road or punt to a higher court to preserve their income and power.

In healthcare, the “scientists” and doctors are so contradictory that even they don’t know what’s going on with either the Wuhan Virus, the other health problems that have been exacerbated by it and the influence of profit considerations on the medical-industrial complex as a whole. We are left, sadly, to hoping our doctor prescribes the right thing at the right time for our individual needs and circumstances!

In education, we’re losing an entire year of development from pre-K through post-graduate programs. The balkanization/anti-social behavior created by social media has now been institutionalized in “remote learning”, where the vast majority of students are learning little and becoming more and more socially inept. Millions of parents looking over the shoulders of their children as they watch/listen to their teachers on tablets are shocked at what their kids are being taught. Forget the three r’s….it’s woke indoctrination 24/7!

Our military and police forces are demoralized. It’s now accepted that they fight for the man or woman next to them instead of the principles of freedom, democracy or defense of the homeland. Never has the term “enemies from within” been more used or appropriate!

Politics has descended into megalomaniacal warfare – win at all costs, no holds barred, “if we have the power we can make things right” utopian lunacy. To see grownups behave like petulant adolescents, insolent malcontents, snickering brats…it’s disgusting and the Chinese, even the Europeans, are laughing at how puerile, superficial and petty our so-called leaders have become. To watch Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer, the Squad, Swalwell, Schiff, Abrams and their ilk, and of course the cream of the crop, Biden and Harris, speak much less appear in public and attempt to say anything useful or uplift in any meaningful way, is to get that burning sensation when a burp comes up one’s gullet just a little.

Projection – the displacement of one’s feelings or actions onto another is the basis for all rhetoric coming out of the mouths of the Left. If we want to know what they’re doing, just listen to what they accuse the Right of! It’s like that childish, “I know you are but what am I,” phrase.

But wait. 

There is the other half or more of the country that doesn’t just sense our way of life slipping away from us, but is angry at what’s happening. Because we care about doing what’s right and acting, for the most part, in a civilized manner, we mutter to ourselves, wave flags in defiance and at our most active, call or write our congressman and women decrying the insanity. But we all sense that something is building…a righteous indignation that is a dam about to burst.

There is a quiet crying out for leadership that will right the ship as it lists in the violent, tossing waves. We’re muzzled, we’re scoffed at, we’re being treated like losers. BUT WE’RE RIGHT, and I don’t just mean politically and socially Right! Something DOES stink and it’s still the majority of Americans who recognize it, not just half or less.

And by leadership I mean, and I’ve said this before, an attractive, articulate, traditional statesman who can not just bludgeon the Left, but make it sexy, cool and desirable to be Right and Good again! He (or she) has to be tough as nails, take no BS from the media, espouse, exude and teach correct principles to the half of the population that is so dumb-downed it doesn’t even recognize it, and lift everyone up whether they no what’s good for them or not!

Perhaps it’s a military leader with civilian persuasion skills. Perhaps it’s another businessman who can navigate the political minefields and persuasively help us reconnect with our traditional roots, the roots that made us the greatest nation on earth. Perhaps, just perhaps, it’s Trump 2.0!

So this Christmas I’m hopeful. I’m certainly prayerful, and I pray there is something that can be done to prevent a Biden/Harris/Puppeteer administration from happening, as well as a takeover of the Senate by the Democrats which truly would spell disaster given their beyond stupid policies, positions, tendencies and downright evil designs. May we turn to the example of the Lord Jesus Christ and turn the other cheek, (while lopping off the head of the Leftist monster that seeks to devour us)… and may we have a happier New Year!  

COVID Data Nonsense – Redux

Here’s yet another superb case (.sic) of someone saying it better than I ever could. I draw your attention to an article from the Mises (libertarian) Institute on how the media/medical/political complex has warped perception by playing fast and loose with the numbers. I reproduce the story in its entirety, with due credit and kudos!

Mises Institute

Published on Mises Institute (https://mises.org)


The Absurdity of Covid “Cases”

October 2, 2020 – 9:17 AMJeff Deist [1]Topics: Health [2]Media and Culture [3]

Today’s headlines announced Donald and Melania Trump “tested positive” for covid-19. Another claims nineteen thousand Amazon workers “got” covid-19 on the job. Both of these pseudostories are sure to ignite another absurd media frenzy. 

As always, the story keeps changing: Remember ventilators, flatten the curve, the next two weeks are crucial, etc.? Remember Nancy Pelosi in Chinatown back in February, urging everyone to visit? Remember Fauci dismissing masks as useless? Why should we believe anything the political/media complex tells us now?

So what do these headlines really mean? What exactly is a covid “case”? 

Since the beginning of the coronavirus outbreak, most US media outlets have been exceedingly credulous and complicit in their reporting. Journalists almost uniformly promote what we can call the “prolockdown” narrative, which is to wildly exaggerate the risks from covid-19 to serve a political agenda. They may be motivated to hurt Trump politically, to promote a more socialist “new normal,” or simply to drive more clicks and views. Bad news sells. But the bias is clear and undeniable. 

This explains why media outlets use the terms “case” and “infection” so loosely, to the point of actively misinforming the public. All of the endless talk about testing, testing, testing served to obscure two important facts. First, the tests themselves are almost laughably unreliable in producing both false positives and negatives. And what is the point? Are we going to test people again and again, every time they go out to the grocery or bump into a neighbor? Second, detecting virus particles or droplets in a human’s respiratory tract tells us very little. It certainly does not tell us they are sick, or transmitting sickness to anyone. 

Take a perfectly healthy person with no particular symptoms and swab the inside of their nose. If the culture shows the presence of staphylococcus aureus, do we insist they have a staph infection? When someone drives to work without incident or accident, do we create statistics about their exposure to traffic?

—A virus is not a disease. Only a very small percentage of those exposed to the virus itself—SARS-CoV-2—show any kind of acute respiratory symptoms, or what we can call “coronavirus disease.” 

The only meaningful statistics show the incidence of serious illness, hospitalizations, and deaths. The single most important statistic among these is the infection fatality rate (IFR). Data collected through July shows [4] that the IFR for those under age forty-five is actually lower than that of the common flu. The covid-19 IFR rises for those over fifty, but it is hardly a death sentence. And the data does not segregate those with preexisting health issues caused by obesity, diabetes, and heart disease. If we could see data only for reasonably healthy people under fifty, the numbers would be even more reassuring. 

Mild or asymptomatic covid cases are effectively meaningless. The world is full of bacteria and viruses, and sometimes they make us a bit sick for a few days. There are millions of them in the world all around us, on our skin, in our nose and respiratory tract, in our organs. We are meant to live with them, which is why we all have immune systems designed to help us coexist and adapt to ever-changing organisms. We develop antibodies naturally, or we attempt to stimulate them through vaccines, but ultimately our own immune systems have to deal with covid-19. The virus will always be out there waiting, on the other side of any lockdown or mask—so we might as well get on with it. 

From day one the focus should have been on boosting immunity through exercise, fresh air, sunlight, proper dietary supplementation, and the promotion of general well-being. Instead our politicians, bureaucrats, and media insisted on business lockdowns, school closures, distancing, isolation, masks, and the mirage of a fast, effective vaccine. As with almost everything in life, state intervention made the situation worse. We can only hope many governors are removed from office, either by impeachment or at the next election. Several, including Andrew Cuomo in New York and Gretchen Whitmer in Michigan, should face criminal charges for their lawless edicts. There is no due process exception for “public health.”

Lockdowns were never justified [5], either in terms of the covid-19 risk or the staggering economic tradeoffs, which will be felt for decades. They certainly are not justified now, given seven months of additional data showing that the transmission and lethality of covid-19 are not particularly worse than previous SARS, swine flu, or Ebola pandemics. We still don’t know how many of the reported two hundred thousand US covid-19 deaths were actually caused by the SARS-CoV-2 respiratory disease, or simply reflect people who died of other causes after exposure to covid-19. We do know that the harms caused by the lockdowns far outweigh the harms posed by the covid-19 virus.

We have had nearly eight months of life and liberty stolen from us by politicians and their hysteria-promoting accomplices in media. How much more will we accept?


Source URL: https://mises.org/wire/absurdity-covid-cases

Links
[1] https://mises.org/profile/jeff-deist
[2] https://mises.org/topics/health
[3] https://mises.org/topics/media-and-culture
[4] https://www.nber.org/papers/w27597
[5] https://mises.org/wire/end-shutdown

The Real Problem with Healthcare

First, let’s get something straight. There’s a difference between health INSURANCE and health CARE. The politicians and talking heads continuously either conflate or misuse the terms. Providing healthcare insurance does not mean providing health care. Conversely, health care does not necessarily have to be linked to or paid for with insurance!

Oh and by the way, health insurance doesn’t (e)nsure health any more than life insurance covers life. Both are tortured marketing labels that have, over time, become universally but naively accepted.

Perhaps the most influential and lucid book ever written on the subject of healthcare policy was written in 1986 by Joseph A. Califano, Jr., who, among other things, served as U.S. Secretary of Health, Education and Welfare. The book is entitled America’s Health Care Revolution: Who Lives? Who Dies? Who Pays?  Califano, Joseph A. (1986) NY:Random House. Although out of print, it can still be obtained through Amazon. In plain language, Califano describes the various players, forces, complexities and problems of the system. He too makes a distinction between health insurance coverage and the delivery of health care.

Back in the 80’s the crisis was rapidly escalating cost and how that was reflected as a percentage of Gross National Product. Califano cited numerous drivers of the inflation, among them: an aging population, advancements in medical technology and drug therapy.

But the biggest driver of healthcare inflation and the root cause of all of the health care delivery and payments system’s problems is intrusion into the doctor-patient relationship.

Why? The answer is complex, but greatly simplifying the story and the history, it all began in 1929 when Baylor University Hospital initiated an insurance plan for 1,250 schoolteachers. Each teacher paid 50 cents (!) a month and received up to twenty-one days of hospital care each year. In 1932 Blue Cross came into being, largely supplanting individual hospital plans and by 1937 had 800,000 subscribers, which rapidly increased to over 6 million by 1940.

Commercial insurers, who primarily wrote property & casualty and life insurance policies, were initially skeptical, but with the success of Blue Cross, entered the arena aggressively, taking the not-for-profit characteristics of Blue Cross plans into the for-profit realm.

Fast forward to World War II, when strict price controls on salaries and wages were enforced but there were little, if any controls on “fringe benefits.” Corporate America, competing for qualified personnel, offered better varieties of often ‘free’ health care insurance benefits to prospective and existing employees in lieu of higher wages.  

In 1947 the Taft Hartley Labor Relations Act opened the door for unions to include fringe benefits like health care insurance plans in their collective bargaining negotiations. That really put fuel on the fire.

Since neither companies nor the government wishing to hire or retain employees could compete with each other on wages, they tried to outdo one another on fringe benefits. Promises of lifetime healthcare insurance coverage that paid 100% of the costs of health care for workers and, eventually, their families as well, became the norm, and health care insurance quickly moved from benefit to entitlement.  

Guess what? Now, decades later, those promises are coming due, with the cost of providing coverage to both workers and retirees not just dwarfing original cost estimates, but now threatening our national solvency!

With the spotlight when Califano wrote his book on costs, the solutions proffered by our benevolent federal government included greater regulation and control over the system, which in turn, predictably, gave rise to “managed care”, or what I refer to as “mismanaged care”. This not only added to health care cost inflation by layering in an administrative bureaucracy but more importantly, exacerbated the intrusion between providers and patients and rapidly advanced the already existing “Triangular Health Care System”.

In no other industry or system are the basic principles of economics more violated than in America’s health care system. What the advent of insurance, whether purchased by an individual, provided by an employer, or granted by the government (i.e. Medicare and Medicaid) does is largely eliminate the economic discussion between the provider of goods and services and the consumer of those goods and services.  

What’s pernicious about this system is that health care providers are incentivized to do everything and anything for their patients, whether medically necessary or not, and without concern for the cost. Since physicians can prescribe and create demand for their services (“I want to see you again in two weeks”), any attempts to reduce costs through price control mechanisms are easily offset by what we’ve seen, i.e. more services rendered in less time, and unavoidably, with reduced quality. Who hasn’t noticed that instead of 15 minute time slots allocated to routine doctor visits, the norm is now 10?

What’s also pernicious is that consumers are for the most part insulated from the basic economics of the transaction/interaction between them and their physician, hospital, pharmacist, optician, etc. until a bill comes in the mail for the “balance due, not covered by insurance.” Most people naively believe that “more care” is “better care”. Thus, the insulation further increases demand.

Whereas in most economic transactions there’s a bargain reached between buyer and seller, in the Health Care Triangle there are two bargaining activities: one between the patient/consumer and their insurance company (or their employer) and one between the insurance company and the health care provider. Again, the provider and the patient rarely, if ever, discuss cost.

In short, what insurance does is both intrude and distort the normal business equation. It turns over, increasingly, the responsibility for individuals’ health to Nanny, until now, the Left has abandoned all pretense of requiring people to care for themselves, and the freedom to elect how to select and acquire health care. Instead, they opt, as they usually do, for solutions like “Medicare for All” which is not about delivering cost and quality health care at all, but about CONTROL. (Come on over for a sit down and single malt to have a different discussion about that problem!)

So what can be done about this?

Due to ingrained and pervasive attributes, agendas and conflicting motivations among the participants, this Gordian Knot with a Rube Goldberg contraption on top will be very difficult to unravel. There is no simple, sweeping solution. However, the long climb back up this slippery slope starts with the application of free market principles, including both restoration of the economic discussion between consumers and providers of health care and disclosure and transparency among market participants.

Meanwhile, channeling Hippocrates, we need to stop doing harm. We must insist that legislators do the precise opposite of what they’re programmed to do…interfere. Rather, we need to legislate less, continue to relax or retract the straight-jackets being applied to the system and, carefully but decisively take away “nanny’s security blanket”, i.e. government hand-holding through regulation and tax extortion. Finally, we need to insist on personal/individual responsibility for HEALTH so that the need for CARE will be reduced. Only then can the inbred bureaucracies be successfully dismantled.

Health care is not just an art, or science, but also a business. The more regulated it has become, the more inefficient, unfair, arbitrary, expensive and messed up it has become, and the more intractable the problems. The less regulated it can be made, the more individual responsibility will be restored, the less demand there will be for care, the better its quality will be, and the more equitable its provision will be.